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Intelligent model for offshore China sea fog forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurate and timely prediction of sea fog is very important for effectively managing maritime and coastal economic activities. Given the intricate nature and inherent variability of sea fog, traditional numerical and statistical forecasting methods are often proven inadequate. This study aims to develop an advanced sea fog forecasting method embedded in a numerical weather prediction model using the Yangtze River Estuary (YRE) coastal area as a case study. Prior to training our machine learning model, we employ a time-lagged correlation analysis technique to identify key predictors and decipher the underlying mechanisms driving sea fog occurrence. In addition, we implement ensemble learning and a focal loss function to address the issue of imbalanced data, thereby enhancing the predictive ability of our model. To verify the accuracy of our method, we evaluate its performance using a comprehensive dataset spanning one year, which encompasses both weather station observations and historical forecasts. Remarkably, our machine learning-based approach surpasses the predictive performance of two conventional methods, the weather research and forecasting nonhydrostatic mesoscale model (WRF-NMM) and the algorithm developed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Forecast Systems Laboratory (FSL). Specifically, in regard to predicting sea fog with a visibility of less than or equal to 1 km with a lead time of 60 hours, our methodology achieves superior results by increasing the probability of detection (POD) while simultaneously reducing the false alarm ratio (FAR).


AfriVEC: Word Embedding Models for African Languages. Case Study of Fon and Nobiin

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

From Word2Vec to GloVe, word embedding models have played key roles in the current state-of-the-art results achieved in Natural Language Processing. Designed to give significant and unique vectorized representations of words and entities, those models have proven to efficiently extract similarities and establish relationships reflecting semantic and contextual meaning among words and entities. African Languages, representing more than 31% of the worldwide spoken languages, have recently been subject to lots of research. However, to the best of our knowledge, there are currently very few to none word embedding models for those languages words and entities, and none for the languages under study in this paper. After describing Glove, Word2Vec, and Poincar\'e embeddings functionalities, we build Word2Vec and Poincar\'e word embedding models for Fon and Nobiin, which show promising results. We test the applicability of transfer learning between these models as a landmark for African Languages to jointly involve in mitigating the scarcity of their resources, and attempt to provide linguistic and social interpretations of our results. Our main contribution is to arouse more interest in creating word embedding models proper to African Languages, ready for use, and that can significantly improve the performances of Natural Language Processing downstream tasks on them. The official repository and implementation is at https://github.com/bonaventuredossou/afrivec